If you're optimistic about the Lions running game, take Williams at a deep discount from Swift's highly aspirational price tag. Ronaldinho is also one of the finest players of all time and the global icon dazzled with his Brazilian flair for across Europe, most notably for Barcelona and AC Milan. Earl Campbell 9. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. That has shown to be largely untrue so far in camp as Williams and Gordon have been splitting first-team reps nearly 50-50 until Gordon has missed time with a foot injury. Jan 26 . The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders to be an every-down back. At 5-foot-6 and 191 pounds, Cohen is too small and one-dimensional to be used as a lead back even if David Montgomery gets hurt. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. The 2021 season will either change from the norm of what we have seen from Edmonds in the past or a new role where he flourishes with an increase in volume. But he's 29, he's undersized, he had a hard time staying healthy last year, he adds little as a pass catcher, and the San Francisco backfield is awfully crowded now. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. Without the volume, he is hard to use. Now we can extinguish any hopes of Jacobs getting more involved in the passing game. Notre Dame's Kyren Williams was one of them and Georgia's James Cook was the other player named. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. David Johnson 's fantasy fortunes have been a roller coaster ride over the past three seasons. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY =. The only other way for one of them to achieve high-end RB1 value would be an injury that allows the other to see an increased workload. Had more rushing touchdowns last year than Williams. Chad Parsons: McKissic is priced reasonably with an implied drop in targets. McKissic take the bulk of receiving work in Washington -- even though Gibson himself is a converted wide receiver. The Raiders declined to exercise Jacobs fifth-year option this offseason, drafted Zamir White in the fourth round, signed Ameer Abdullah and Brandon Bolden, and Kenyan Drake returns from injury. Andy Hicks: If people are using a fourth or fifth-round pick on Myles Gaskin, they will end up disappointed. Terrell Davis, Edgerrin James, Reggie Bush, Rashard Mendenhall, Jamaal Charles, and recently, Dalvin Cook all took over a season of play to return to form if they did at all. Yes, but it doesn't feel like he'll be a top-10 type of running back, even in the Chiefs' potent offense. Gaskin's current draft position is indicative of him being the top back in Miami, and it's not a foregone conclusion that he is. Even if he isn't named the Saints' starting quarterback, Hill's continued presence in the red zone and at the goal-line infringes on Kamara's touchdown opportunity. If Robinson claims goal line work, there is an upward battle for returning a value in his ADP. Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. After the Robinson selection, head coach Ron Rivera likened the potential Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson Jr combination to the Jonathan Stewart and D'Angelo Williams pairing he used during his Carolina days. Tony Dorsett 12. But even if he doesnt, this backfield could be a closer split than many think. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. And even if he played all three downs, the target competition is strong (Davante Adams, Darren Waller, Hunter Renfrow). Chase Edmonds, Arizona | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB23. Barry Sanders - 15, averaged one 50-plus-yard TD every 204 carries. Unfortunately, Dobbins is on a team with an elite rushing quarterback in Lamar Jackson, who will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. But when we look closer, The Bus only averages 1,050 rushing yards per year and 7 touchdowns, far from elite stats. Henry is one of my favorite players in the league, but there are preferable first-round picks for me in 2021. The Commanders made it a priority of theirs to bring back J.D. David Montgomery looked the part of a workhorse profile after Cohen left the lineup, and Khalil Herbert is a rookie to watch for upward mobility on the depth chart. 5. Think about that for a moment. He feasted on unsustainable opportunities and a soft schedule. That role may not disappear completely, but the addition of Gio Bernard is a bad sign for Tampa Bay's intentions with Fournette. Weve seen flashes of Raheem Mostert over the last couple of years feasting in this offense, but its sporadic and challenging to predict. Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. They did not pick up his fifth-year option and took Zamir White in the fourth round of the NFL Draft. Most Overrated QB: Tom Brady 1 of 6 McKissic, one the league's better pass-catching backs. McKissic. Preseason may help a little. It's not entirely his fault. Williams is extremely talented, but as of now, it looks like this will be a split backfield. "The Philadelphia Story," on the other hand, was a comedy, a genre not often seen as Best Picture worthy. 1. He didnt have a top 5 offensive line, so that eliminates the argument that he was made by the offensive line. . It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. And in fact, some managers are drafting him to be in their fantasy starting lineups in Week 1. Jeff Haseley: It's easy to succumb to the notion that Saquon Barkley is one of the best running backs in the league. That is not the stat line of an elite RB at all. If Gordon's injury is extended, Williams could be appropriately priced, but until there is more information, he is an avoid at cost. J.K. McKissic, Washington | Consensus Rankings RB47 | Consensus Projections RB45. I understand the upside, but I don't want to take a huge miss if I'm drafting in Week 1. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. However, with Smith out of town, gunslinger Ryan Fitzpatrick now under center, and sophomore running back Antonio Gibson expected to step up, McKissic isnt someone that will have much value in most fantasy leagues. But drafting him as a high-upside No. First, Johnson turns 30 in December, and considering all the injuries he's dealt with in his NFL career, it's hard to see him aging well. Even the best backs need help, and Harris is less likely to have consistent holes to run through than any of the backs going around him. Therefore, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Back up Share project Close 2022 hyundai sonata limited interior; what is birkenstock oiled leather; bates high gloss duty oxford; most overrated running backs of all time. Before his 2020 campaign, McKissic had never rushed for more than 205 yards in a season. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. I definitely do not want the most expensive option here (Carter), but Coleman and Johnson are arbitrage plays. Barry Sanders is easily the best ever. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. He has lapses in vision and decision-making. Pat Fitzmaurice: This is the type of player I won't draft at any cost. His ADP has been climbing recently, and while his price says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, he's still being overvalued at his current price. Its easy and lazy to make comparisons to "Todd Gurley under Sean McVay," but that hope is pushing him into a tier of running backs that he does not belong. He also is a touchdown liability -- he's scored 5, 6, and 4 touchdowns in three of his four seasons (11 the other season), which had led to finishing outside the Top 25 each of those years. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. He finally received the workhorse role fantasy players have craved. Downing, USA Today Sports. 20 20. Malcolm Brown has also been an underrated commodity for some time now and gets a shot to compete with Gaskin for significant playing time. I'm out. Dave Kluge: To close out the 2020 season, Cam Akers saw 21, 29, 15, and 21 carries over his last four games. Chad Parsons: Cohen is coming off an injury, and Damien Williams is a notable veteran addition to the depth chart. He has good hands, but his route running hurt his opportunities to make clean catches against man-to-man coverage. Derrick Henry, Tennessee | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB4. Murray scored 11 rushing touchdowns in 9 different games in 2020. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. Jerome Bettis 16. Nobody should ever try to run like Barry Sanders, because they will never be Barry Sanders. Drew Davenport: Gordon hasn't been a special player for a while now, and at times last year looked completely ineffective. Although the rookie saw an uptick in usage throughout his first season, he managed to eclipse 66% of his teams snaps just once. Has no highlight reel. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your Dave Kluge: The 49ers drafted Trey Sermon and Elijah Mitchell and signed free agent Wayne Gallman. I can't see Mostert getting enough work to justify his current ADP. The uncertainty of Fournette's touch volume will make it hard to start him with confidence throughout the season, so a late-sixth-round ADP seems steep. Edmonds is a great player who offers a ton of talent on the field to help win games, but he will never be the high volume type of player that we are all desperately looking for each year. It looked like Williams would consolidate the lead role in the offseason. But now in the NFL, he is removed from passing down work in favor of J.D. Sigmund Bloom: Jacobs' ADP would be justified and reasonable if the Raiders hadn't added Kenyan Drake, but they did. Here's our list of the greatest 30 running backs in NFL history. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. There have been 49 running backs taken among the first 10 picks since 1960, and Byars has the lowest rushing average of the bunch. O.J. Single These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another important key to a successful fantasy team. Awesemo fantasy expert Nick Lepri gives you the three MOST OVERRATED RBs, breaks down his running .. Single In addition, Antonio Gibson finished the year banged up and ceding snaps to McKissic. Flick's Package Liquor Inc. PO Box 221 3320 Sterns Rd. Barkley could hit on pure talent and above-average recuperative ability, but everything else is going against him to return value on his lofty ADP. The Silence of the Lambs (1991) - Director: Jonathan Demme. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. The Brazilian won the Ballon d'Or in 2005 and has been inducted into the Milan hall of fame for his impact between 2008 and 2011 before heading back to his homeland. In no way am I saying Bettis should not be a hall of famer. By the end of the year, that may change, but Etienne will be a change-of-pace and gadget player who might earn flex value this year until then. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Cohen is not even a projected injury-away auto-start fantasy option heading into training camp. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. Vegas used other backs last year and pigeonholed Jacobs as a two-down grinder. When we go into advanced stats, we can tell even more about Bettis: * Note: The stats are Bettis averages per season, not total career. Dillon a lot, and reports from OTAs have been promising. Gibson was even in the game after Robinson was out. Bursting onto the scene in our list is Micah Richards. Gordon's arrow is pointing down for 2021, and he could be marginalized as the season goes on because the team also likes free agent signing Mike Boone. But career stats shouldnt have much emphasis on them for that reason. Pat Fitzmaurice: The Buccaneers' playoff run was the best four-game stretch for Fournette since the early part of the 2019 season. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Yeah, us, too. Mostert is now 29 years old and has the highest draft position of anyone in this stable of capable running backs. Every NFL team's most overrated player of all time Jarrett Bailey 12/21/2021 180K donated to doctor who preformed 10-year-old girl's abortion to help with legal costs, security. The addition of James Conner, plus the knowledge that Kyler Murray could steal goal-line carries, also adds a bit of skepticism. He's as gifted a receiver as he is a runner, which allows him to have huge games regardless of game script. Gibson fumbled in the preseason opener, and ball security has been an issue as he coughed up the football four times last year. Andy Hicks: Austin Ekeler isnt going to rush anyone to a fantasy title. Adrian . Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. Jamal Lewis 18. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your Backs who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage are going after Chubb. Phil Alexander: Michael Thomas' ankle injury opens up additional targets for Kamara, who will operate as New Orleans' de facto No. His career YPC was 3.9. Drew Davenport: Through nine games last year, Montgomery was the 26th ranked PPR running back in points per game at 12.2 a contest. Sigmund Bloom: Anthony Lynn basically told us that he will run a committee of Swift and free agent pick Jamaal Williams when he called Williams his "A" back. Swift relied heavily on touchdown production for his fantasy numbers. There have been personnel changes and a change in offensive coordinator to Matt Canada. Cam Akers, LA Rams | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB13. You are better off investing in a more consistent player for your RB2 when you get to the late second or early third round of drafts. Links to similar discussions on other positions: The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. However, James Robinson is a better runner than Etienne at this point. What follows are some of the most notable BackCAST projections for the running back prospects available in the 2022 NFL draft, along with two overrated back based on this model: ESPN + Brady is known for being the only quarterback in history to win 7 Super Bowls, and is often considered one of the best quarterbacks of all time. Phil Alexander: Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. For both Cleveland backs to be values, the team would have to produce vintage New Orleans-level production for its backs, or one of them would have to get injured to allow the other to see an increased workload. I think this is pretty unfair to call him the most overrated. The Ravens have had the #1 rushing offense in the league for the last two years straight but have finished 31st overall in total running back targets in that same time span. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league over that finishing stretch to put up those huge numbers. Lynn will also rely on the hot hand approach - and Swift is more likely to run hot than Williams - but how often will this offense and team play well enough to give Swift a favorable game script. Victoria Geary: Dobbins is an elite talent on the best rushing offense in the NFL. Jeff Haseley: Chase Edmonds scored in five different games in 2020, exceeding eight carries in a game only twice in 15 qualifying games. By the season's end, Mike Davis will be a case of "I knew it," but the guy who pushes him down or out is pure guesswork at this stage. 3 back on the depth chart before the first preseason game. Tatum Bell isn't the only Lions running back of the 2000s to get snakebitten. Adrian Peterson 10. Over the past decade, the NFL has really evolved into a passing league. Sigmund Bloom: Not that the Texans offense was anything you wanted to go near in fantasy drafts in the first place, but Johnson's ADP needs to adjust by multiple rounds to the news that he will be sharing the backfield with Phillip Lindsay and Mark Ingram II and no longer in the lead back role. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. His best year came in 2011 when he ran for 10 touchdowns and 1,047 yards, but other than that he didn't do much else. For example, take Imagine Dragons and Maroon 5, both very accomplished. Overrated David Boston -- WR, 1999-02 Boston was a former first-round pick by the Cardinals who had an epic Pro Bowl /All-Pro season in 2001 when he caught 98 passes for nearly 1,600 yards and. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB20. Andy Hicks: D'Andre Swift had a patchy rookie season. He also has a new coaching staff, a new play-caller, and a new system to learn. Jason Wood: Preseason depth charts aren't perfectly predictive, but the new Texans coaching staff clearly sent a message listing Johnson as the No. Jason Wood: Ekeler can single-handedly carry a fantasy team for a week or two. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. NFL's 5 Most Overrated Running Backs No Name August 6, 2011 Over the past decade, the NFL has really evolved into a passing league. Scoring at least once in 9 games (16 gms total) yields a 56% chance of a score in each game. Tarik Cohen, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB49 | Consensus Projections RB47. The Steelers were 23rd in red zone attempts per game in 2020 and were recently ranked as having the fourth-worst offensive line ahead of the 2021 season by Pro Football Focus. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league to put up those huge numbers over that finishing stretch. Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain. Jason Wood: Sometimes fate aligns, and that's what happened for Mike Davis last year in Carolina. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB13. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris will likely struggle behind his offensive line and may not garner an elite share of red zone touches. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. Tevin Coleman was specifically brought in because he knows the run-blocking schemes the Jets will employ this year, and Ty Johnson hasn't gone anywhere either. You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB22. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. The first thing that pops out at us is that Jerome Bettis 3.9 YPC is a good deal lower than the offensive lines mark of 4.29 (ADY). Jason Wood: Williams has the talent to be a top-10 fantasy back for years. Sigmund Bloom: Barkley may not be 100% to start the season, and he might not truly be 100% until next season. But drafting him as a high-upside No. He has had 9,088 receiving+rushing yards over his career. Swift also picked up bad footwork habits working alongside a different style of back in Adrian Peterson last year, opting for inefficient jump cuts that hurt his game. Robinson can be successful this year, but he will need luck and to earn the trust of the new coaching staff. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback will gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. He was a liability during pass plays because of his inability to catch passes. Should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc. Overall: 98 and 96. Chris "Beanie" Wells. Ben Cummins: Henrys past two monster years were with offensive coordinator Arthur Smith, the head coach in Atlanta. 24 Overrated RBs. "Matthew Berry, ESPN. Jeff Haseley: The Dolphins have a three-headed approach to the running back position this year. 5. The 4.29 ADY by the Steelers offensive line would be tied for 8th place in the NFL in 2009. There isnt much to like here. As a model for other running backs, one of the greatest running backs of all time is a horrible example. Bettis was nothing more than an average RB for a long period of time (13 years). There is no other way to explain a mid-range RB3 price when he is in one of the worst possible situations in Houston. Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time by Team By Paul Ladewski, updated on September 10, 2021 Matt York / AP Photo Don't you just love it that sports media are so quick to hype athletes as the biggest and the best. Jim Brown Jim Brown spent a little less than a decade playing for the Cleveland Browns between 1957 and 1965, but that was enough time to prove he's likely the greatest running back to ever play the game and one of the greatest NFL players of all time. Not to mention I expect this offense to throw the ball a lot more than last year due to the addition of Russell Wilson and new Head Coach Nathaniel Hackett. Andy Hicks: It is hard for an undrafted rookie running back to succeed in the NFL. The Steelers were 23rd in red zone attempts per game in 2020 and were ranked as having the fourth-worst offensive line ahead of the 2021 season by Pro Football Focus. Austin Ekeler, LA Chargers | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB7. 1 Barry Sanders Barry Sanders is a former American football running back who spent his entire professional career with the Detroit Lions of the National Football League. Sigmund Bloom: Brian Robinson Jr had an excellent preseason debut, while Antonio Gibson fumbled *again*, so this is trending in the wrong direction for Gibson's 2022 redraft value. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB22 | Consensus Projections RB24. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. J.D. Taysom Hill had nine carries from inside the opponent's five-yard line to Kamara's 15 in 2021 and won't be removed from the Saints' red-zone plans any time soon. Kevin Coleman: Antonio Gibsons value took a hit this offseason. Andrew Davenport: I've had ample opportunities to draft Gaskin and just haven't been able to do it. Marcus Allen 15. Gordon caught only 32 passes last year, and outside of three games where he scored two touchdowns, he was a mediocre fantasy back. 1 receiver for a significant chunk of the season. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB10. Phil Alexander: Beware of drafting running backs based solely on their perceived opportunity. Expect some early-season force-feeding of Etienne until there's a realization that the usage is predictable and inefficient. Sep 20, 2020; Tampa, Florida, USA; Carolina . This is a major factor in any expectation that Robinson would be fantasy lineup-relevant without an injury to one of the other options, especially beyond the early weeks of the season.