SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. Hes played this event once, finishing T-17 last year while losing 5.24 strokes in the short game. Si Woo Kim, fresh off his Sony Open victory last week, also will compete, alongside the likes of Xander Schauffele, Will Zalatoris and Tom Kim. Other top contenders in the Arnold Palmer field include Rory McIlroy (19-2), Scottie Scheffler (11-1), Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1), Justin Thomas (23-1), Xander Schauffele (24-1) and Will Zalatoris (24-1). You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks, sleepers, head-to-head matchups, best bets, and his top one and done pick. It just doesnt need to. TPC Summerlin 8. The Approach: A picks and preview article from Nolan Kelly that uses some of @Awesemos projection for the week! He just missed a massive 130-1 score last week when Hayden Buckley finished second at the Sony Open. Min Woo Lee hasnt played an official PGA Tour event since the Open Championship (T-21) but has been crushing the DP World Tour as of late. Jon Rahm +550Patrick Cantlay +950Scottie Scheffler +1100Tony Finau +1500Xander Schauffele +1900Will Zalatoris +1900Tom Kim +2000Sungjae Im +2100Cameron Young +2100Sam Burns +2900Si Woo Kim +2900Brian Harman +3400Aaron Wise +4200Tom Hoge +4200Taylor Montgomery +4500Cameron Davis +4800J.T. Our experts, as always, are in search of a little more value down the odds board, however. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be Caddie: Jason Day (45-1, DraftKings) Theres something quietly brewing right now with the former World No. Hes been quiet of late but he still connected for a T11 at PGA West, and we can count on him to find fairways at Bay Hill. World No. NOT GREAT, BOB!!!! One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). The other was Stuart Appleby, who won the Sentry Tournament of Champions in 2004, 2005 and 2006. Bezuidenhout is one of the few players in the field who teed it up at the Honda Classic last week, finishing T-42. Gehman: Zecheng Dou (180-1, DraftKings) Dou just posted his best finish of the season, a T-17 in Bermuda last week. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! He missed the cut in both Phoenix and Los Angeles, struggling to put all four facets of the game together. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. We picked our His value will be flattened on course history alone -- since his debut in 2020, hes gone T18-7th-T20 but thats OK because its the kind of consistently strong form we want in every investment, not to mention that hes navigated Bay Hill in a variety of conditions to extend that confidence into this weeks fray. This hasnt been the run of golf that Conners was hoping for this season. Thats a tough scene. (Photo: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports). THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Honda Classic DFS picks 2023: Play this breakout star at PGA National, Max Homa, fighting back tears, says he will win again at Riviera, LIV Golf announces teams, players for 2023; Four PGA Tour players, Pieters officially join league, These are the questions you should be asking yourself before buying new clubs, Brian Urlacher on his proud moment in the WMPO pro-am, an unlikely eagle at Augusta National and making his first ace on a par 4 (! We are only five starts removed from his win at the RSM Classic, and he earned a top 10 at the Honda Classic last year despite losing four strokes with the flatstick. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Thomas Detry (40-1, DraftKings) Detry will be coming into this event brimming with confidence after his runner-up finish last week. RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Rory McIlroy ($10,600 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). Alex Noren ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,200 FanDuel). The 26-year-old hasn't been great in this event the past two years, but he did finish third in 2020. Highlighted by The Bear Trap, one of the most difficult three-hole stretches on tour, the winning score of this event is routinely in single digits under-par. Our experts are torn. Yes, hes first in SG/total. Now he heads back to Bay Hill, where he has dominated in his careerhe has gained a staggering 74.68 strokes to the field across eight starts, or just over 9.3 strokes per event, which includes a win in 2018 and six other top-15s. Hes also likely to lose a lot of strokes puttinglike he did at Riviera (losing seven strokes/putting), making it 17 straight events losing with that club. Bramlett will enter with back-to-back T-15 finishes, where hes gained over 10 strokes in the ball-striking categories. That will undoubtedly change soon, but Im not ready to bet on it at single-digit odds. and synopsis provided by Jason Rouslin. Scottie Scheffler (last three starts: T-55, 1, 1), 2. The Chicagoland native has been playing fantasy golf since 1994, so he was just waiting for the Internet to catch up with him. Over the past 100 rounds, hes the fourth-best tee-to-green player in the field, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. He gained 5.43 strokes on approach at the Fortinet Championship and again 7.03 at the CJ Cup. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+550, FanDuel) Ill take the easy pick with Rahm this week. Past results: Golf Digest's betting panel caught fire at the end of the summer, correctly predicting the winner in five of the final six events of the season. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. See the full Puerto Rico Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.. Nate Lashley 16-1 Ben Martin 20-1 Brandon Harkins 22-1 Rounds 1 and 3: Best ball Shane Lowry (T-35, T-3, T-3), 3. Hopefully he can ride his sterling swing-season form, pick up another win and make things right with El Tucan. The model was also all over Jon Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship Sleepers: How to Bet Hideki Matsuyama, Corey Conners & Matt Kuchar, Join Stokastic Plus and Team with the #1 DFS Player, 2023 Honda Classic DFS Picks & Core Plays: Jhonattan Vegas Has Value, 2023 Honda Classic PGA DFS Targets: Christiaan Bezuidenhout the Ultimate Boom/Bust Play, PGA DFS Optimizer Picks Honda Classic: Shane Lowry One of Few High-End Options in Limited Field. I like the consistency of Rai here in a matchup as a slight favorite. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in . (Photo: Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports). CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. Weekly Cheatsheets: If you are already an Awesemo.com frequent visitor, you know about these quick hitter cheatsheets that give you some ideas on who to play each week. He has two top-five finishes in his past four trips to this event. Scottish Open Picks Jordan Spieth often excels the week before a Major and loves the links. His short game has been tidy, gaining strokes around-the-green in five of his last seven starts while gaining strokes with his putter in seven straight. Rileys constant is as a stripe show on approach, so our speculation relies on a hot putter to disrupt. Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Collin Morikawa (18-1, DraftKings) The results may not reflect it, but he seems to be rounding back into form. A look at past performance charts from Golfstats site founder Sal Johnson shows golfers in the field this year who have finished top-10 multiple times over the last six years include: Rory McIlroy, Marc Leishman, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Tyrrell Hatton, Sungjae Im, Tommy Fleetwood, Chris Kirk, Luke List, Keith Mitchell and Lucas Glover. Hes gained 17.03 strokes putting over his last six measured starts, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Hovland stepped up to the tee at the par-3 No. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Millions in Winnings and Counting. , I always thought the wrap-around-a-lake par-5 sixth was Dick Wilson's version of Robert Trent Jones's decade-older 13th at The Dunes Club at Myrtle Beach. Follow the Twilight 9 Podcast: Apple Podcasts|Spotify|Google Podcasts. Hes also got decent history at Mayakoba, having finished T-3 here two years ago. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) This price is too low for someone who has played just one event in the last nine weeks. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. 2023 Honda Classic Odds & Trends: Shane Lowry & Sunjae Im Lead the Pack. The main feature at PGA National (and most Florida courses) is water! Davis Riley Its like a rite of passage across the United States. Strokes gained/approach is also incredibly valuableagain, only six other courses were more correlated to success. Confidence is high for Ryder, who is playing the best golf of his life right now. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Gehman: Jason Day (-120) over K.H. Released Wednesday. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Look for these on Wednesday afternoons. For the first time since his back injury last year, Zalatoris looked like himself again in his most recent start. He gained strokes across the board and has shown significant improvements with the putter in recent months. Courses 189 View detail Preview site 1 Scottie Scheffler is back in action and back in his rightful spot as the solo favorite. He finished his Korn Ferry Tour season with a win, a third and T-10 all within his last seven starts. Thats a sour combination most weeks, but its especially true here at PGA National, which will require putting and precision. Before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own,be sure to check out the PGA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine golf expert Mike McClure. His success at this prompted FanShare Sports to enlist him as a guest writer, which evolved into him writing the weekly Under The Radar article. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. RELATED: Honda Classic picks 2023: Our experts love this sneaky good iron player at PGA National, Joseph Bramlett ($7,500 DraftKings | $9,300 FanDuel). The PGA Tour heads to Palm Beach Gardens, Florida this week for the 2023 Honda Classic, a tournament that features one of the weakest fields, The West Coast swing is officially over, and that means the PGA Tour heads to Florida. Heading into this week's tournament, the 35-year-old ranks first on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained (1.957), 11th in strokes gained tee-to-green (1.307), 21st in strokes gained on approach (0.677), and 26th in strokes gained putting (0.650). The 2023 Genesis Invitational. Hell need to rebound quickly, but against this field and with that recent stat profile, there are obvious concerns rostering him despite his upside. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. The PGA Tour begins the Florida swing this week with the Honda Classic, which will once again play at PGA National (par 70, 7,125 yards, The PGA Tour continues this week with the first stop on the Florida swing and the Honda Classic. Hes riskier than some of his similarly priced peers, but the upside is undeniable. So what 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks should you target this week? But hes certainly gaining on it, with three top-25 finishes in his last seven starts on tour. Written by Jason Rouslin and released on Sunday evenings. We can argue about how hampered he is, but he has some of the best tournament history in the field. His usually reliable driver has let him down, and he hasnt been as precise on his second shots. He shot better than 71 once in the six rounds. Powers, Golf Digest: Davis Riley (+650, DraftKings) Riley has fallen out of favor with the gambling community of late thanks to some so-so results, but his irons have still been cooking. Fitzpatrick has been candid about dealing with a neck injury over the course of the past few weeks. Golf Digest - Joel Beall 2d The PGA Tours designated events for 2024 will feature limited fields and no cuts after the tours Policy Board voted to approve a new structure for the tournaments in a Tuesday night meeting. While Im happy for him, Im not buying it just yet. 2 Scottie Scheffler is back to defend his title while No. 1 Scottie Scheffler. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Joaqun Niemann (R) of Chile celebrates with the trophy alongside friend and competitor Mito Pereira (L) of Chile after winning the final round of The Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club on February 20, 2022 in Pacific Palisades, California. Hes gained strokes with the flatstick in six of his last seven measured events. While that sounds great, its likely unsustainable. CLICK HERE to learn more at HaveAGamePlan.org. Lee Alldrick of FanShare Sports started out writing an article highlighting the best bargain plays for fantasy golf under his twitter handle @DKGolfBargains. How to Sports Bet 101: What is a Point Spread? Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. section: | slug: arnold-palmer-invitational-2023-props-odds-field-expert-head-to-head-golf-matchup-picks-pga-best-bets | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | His form is great, ranking second in the field for SG/total over the last two years and 11th for SG/total over the last two months. Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. Hes been wildly inconsistent in each facet of his game, and this price is too much to stomach compared to his peers. Lee Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Brendon Todd (45-1, DraftKings) Todd is a past winner here at Mayakoba and also has a further eighth-place and 11th-place finish to his name here. DraftKings Round 4 Showdown Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Picks for the Genesis Invitational | Patrick Cantlay. Affiliate Program Refer Friends & Earn! Must be nice. Anyone who backs one of his 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational sleepers could hit it big. Mayo won the 2020 FSWA Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and Golf Writer of the Year awards, along with the Fantasy Sports Trade Association Best Sports Betting Analyst award in 2020. Play with trusted, licensed operators. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. Which overlooked golfer could pull off a victory that would pay off at more than 60-1? His perception has been buoyed by two straight third-place finishes at the Sony Open and American Express. Odds provided byTipico Sportsbook; accessUSA TODAY Sports betting oddsfor a full list. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the best mark since his victory in Memphis last year. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. The Players Championship will be contested next week without its biggest draw. Only Rory McIlroy has gained more strokes at Bay Hill than Fitzpatrick, in as many rounds, over the past eight years. Tom Kim ($8,400 DraftKings | $9,800 FanDuel). Harris English ($8,400 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). Aaron Wise ($9,200 DraftKings | $11,600 FanDuel). Hes now played 12 times this season, making the cut in 10 starts while earning six finishes of T-32 or better. 1 DFS Player. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Kevin Streelman (+900, Bet365) The off-the-tee and approach numbers are top 15 in this field over the past 24 rounds, per Fantasy National, so Streelman should give himself plenty of chances. Rounds 2 and 4: Alternate shot. RELATED: What to make of LIV Golfs tumultuous inaugural season. The Stokastic 2022-2023 NBA DFS Content Schedule, Best Ball Rankings for DraftKings & Underdog Fantasy, Jock MKT NBA DFS IPO Pricing/Projections FREE, Expert Golf Betting Tool | Prop Bet Projections, Top Golfers Tool PGA DFS Simulation Results, Stokastics Camping World Series Projections, F1 DFS Projections for DraftKings Formula One Fantasy Racing, NASCAR Camping World Series Ownership Projections, NASCAR Top Drivers Tool Simulation Probabilities, How to Play DraftKings F1 DFS: Formula 1 Fantasy Racing Advice & How To Win Tournaments, CSGO Ownership Projections for DraftKings, The Stokastic Podcast Network Directory, Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Podcast All Sports, Betting U College Sports Betting Podcast, Sports Betting 101: Bet Types Part II (FREE). Homa and Gooch are great friends off the golf course, and that can help throughout the week. Hes already proven that it works at Bay Hill, too. You can only see his Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets at SportsLine. Hes getting by with the putter, and thats likely not enough this week against a top-heavy field. Now, McClure has set his sights on the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field and just revealed his top PGA prop bets. Svensson rebounded from MCs at Torrey Pines and Phoenix with a T-9 at Riviera, and hell find a reprieve in this field. Course Fit(compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course DataGolf): 1. Jon Rahm Now Heavy Favorite at Arnold Palmer Invitational After Strong First Round, Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Bettor in For Wild Pay Day if Scottie Scheffler Repeats, Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Odds & Trends: Bettors Loving Will Zalatoris, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Longshot Bets: Keith Mitchell Scorching Hot, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done Picks: It May Be Collin Morikawa Time. RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field this week at the 2023 Honda Classic, Robby Shelton ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,700 FanDuel). Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. He played here last year and posted a very impressive 22nd-place finish on his first attempt here at El Camaleon. Now he gets to battle a much weaker field, where he should be able to separate himself more frequently. List is the most on-brand golfer on tour, rarely doing anything outside his DNA. The Honda Classic is the first stop, and although. With a pair of early top 10s among six paydays, the 41-year-old Aussie is an impressive 75th in the FedExCup. He nailed the Houston Open, backing Tony Finau to win at 25-1, and is up almost seven units on his plays overall, a profit of nearly $700 for $100 bettors. Course Fit ( compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course DataGolf): 1. Detry certainly seems to be building toward something big. , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. https://sportsbookwire.usatoday.com/category/pga-odds-lines-picks-predictions, PGA Tour odds, lines, picks and predictions, NFL Fantasy Football Rankings, Sleepers and Analysis, Jeff Overton odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Ludvig Aberg odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Roberto Diaz odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Eric Axley odds, tips and betting trends for the Puerto Rico Open, Seonghyeon Kim odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Will Zalatoris odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Justin Thomas odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Min Woo Lee odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Ben Taylor odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Ryan Palmer odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Aaron Rai odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, Eric Cole odds, tips and betting trends for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard, J.J. 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