And Kansas Democratic governor, Laura Kelly, is in a tight re-election race, as is Gov. We need more of that in the Governor's Office." Republicans need to flip only one seat to gain control of the Senate, while Democrats need to keep 50 seats to maintain control. Like the majority of independent polling in Ohio, economic issues remain the No. Nov. 8, 2022, Arizona has multiple races featuring Republicans who have questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election. RacetotheWH is tracking all polling for the 2022 Senate Election. For direct links to gubernatorial polling detail in each state, see this map . Among them: Pennsylvania, Michigan and Texas. Nov. 8, 2022, The Timess election forecast is now running. About 8% of voters remain undecided, Cygnal found. Steve Shepard, our chief forecaster, has settled on four core principles -Ohio driver's license or Ohio identification card number-Name-Date of Birth-Address-Last four digits of your Social Security number. Mike DeWine", "General Transaction Search Results Ohio Secretary of State", "Ohio governor's race: Jim Renacci announces Christian film producer as running mate in GOP primary", "Mike DeWine won't have to face Warren Davidson. The 2022 Oklahoma gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Oklahoma.Incumbent Republican Governor Kevin Stitt was re-elected to a second term, defeating his Democratic challenger Joy Hofmeister. Tonight, our election forecast will show live estimates for which party is favored to win control in the Senate and House. . Maggie Astor The incumbent Mike DeWine is set to win comfortably. Races to watch include those in the 17th, 18th, 19th and 22nd Congressional Districts, as well as the contest for governor. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Democrats launched a late ad campaign hitting Republican Eric Aadland, who is seeking to become first alphabetically in congressional history by last name. I intend to keep doing this job, run for reelection, and one day in the future, I intend to run for governor. ", "Trump hints at primary challenge for DeWine in tweet", "DeWine tells Republicans he's definitely running for re-election", "The Spectrum: Gubernatorial candidate seeks to break the mold; employers requiring COVID-19 vaccine", "Mulligan's owner withdraws as candidate for lieutenant governor", "Blystone Picks Union County Marine Veteran As Running Mate", "Conservative former state reps join Republican contest for Ohio governor", "Ex-lawmaker Ron Hood enters GOP primary for Ohio governor", "Former U.S. Rep. Jim Renacci announces campaign for Ohio governor, challenging incumbent Gov. Republicans would need just two tossup seats beyond what they are favored to win. Will Shiba Inu reach 1 Cent by 2025? An advanced degree after a bachelor's degree (such as JD, MA, MBA, MD, PhD), GOP starts boosting Walker in runoff amid calls to keep Trump away from Georgia, Maricopa County officials apologize for Arizona ballot reader issue, New Hampshires James Roesener is first trans man elected to a state legislature, Here are the Black candidates who made history on election night, Biden speaks with McCarthy as House control remains too early to call, So much relief: South Dakota voters pass Medicaid expansion, Counting in Nevada's Clark County continues after 56,900 mail ballots were received on Election Day, Eric Sorensen becomes first LGBTQ person elected to Congress from Illinois, Latino Republican voters are more progressive than white Republican voters on key issues, exit polls find, Alaska Senate race headed to ranked choice runoff, Schumer says Democrats are 'feeling good' about keeping majority after pundits 'missed it', Abortion rights advocates see a flurry of post-Roe victories in midterms. The two are tied among those who say they will definitely vote in November's election. Michiganders are voting on abortion rights. Maggie Astor Track all US 2022 Mid-Term Election Polls here, Ohio Governor Race 2022 Polls: Mike DeWine Wins Ohio Gubernatorial Race. times, in Were getting results for ballot measures related to abortion and reproductive rights in Kentucky, Michigan and Vermont. Polkadot Price Prediction Today. Read more * Incumbent Vance, the author and venture capitalist who is endorsed by Donald Trump, is competing with Representative Tim Ryan, a Democrat. . Heres what the vote count could look like this year. While the three majority-Hispanic counties Hendry, Miami-Dade and Osceola shifted the most, Latino turnout tends to drop more in the midterms compared with other groups. Your guide to the midterm results, from Times reporters, Democrats held onto or gained trifectas in a number of states and fended off Republican supermajorities in others. @SpectrumNews1OH t.co/6IoAatavzX", "Analysis: What Is Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley Up To? Four counties all of which supported Trump in 2020 voted for Shapiro but chose Dr. Oz, the Republican, for the Senate. State Sen. Doug Mastriano who attended and helped organize for the "Stop the Steal" rally, has called for audits of Keystone State votes and has been . MarketWatch provides the latest stock market, financial and business news. Nov. 8, 2022, Republicans are favored to win the open Senate races in North Carolina and Ohio, but if Democrats have a better-than-expected day, these are two places we might see evidence of it. Things have changed in this race since when I first rated it. Vance with 48.2% of the vote compared with Democrat Tim Ryans 43.7% a gap that falls within the polls margin of error of 2.52%, dubbing the race a statistical dead heat. Nov. 8, 2022, These charts show how the reported vote margin (the dashed line) compares with our estimated final margin (the solid line, surrounded by bands of uncertainty) over time. Cisco Aguilar, a Democratic lawyer, defeated Jim Marchant, a leading promoter of election conspiracy theories, in the race to be Nevadas secretary of state. Alicia Parlapiano Arizonas closely watched races for Senate and governor remained too close to call in the state, where 400,000 ballots in Maricopa County await counting. "Another candidate" with 2%; "Not going to vote" with 1%, Petersen with 11%, "someone else" with 1%, This poll was sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association, This poll was sponsored by Renacci's campaign committee, This poll was sponsored by Whaley's campaign, This poll was sponsored by American Greatness, This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes DeWine, This poll was circulated by the Ohio Democratic Party, 2022 United States gubernatorial elections, Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign, ran for the U.S. House in Ohio's 13th congressional district, Industrial Division of the Communication Workers of America, 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio, "CNN Projection: Republican Gov. The 2022 primaries kick into high gear Tuesday when Ohio and Indiana voters head to the polls, initiating a month of elections that will preview where the parties could be heading in November's . In 2020, Virginias early vote for president favored Republicans, while Pennsylvanias skewed toward Democrats. , Dina Titus, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nevadas First Congressional District. Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan, a Democrat, won a tough re-election race against her Republican rival, Tudor Dixon. Ohioans are split down the middle when it comes to selecting a new senator, but one thing remains clear: DeWine, first elected to the role in 2018, is overwhelmingly favored to return to office. With 56% of the vote compared with Whaleys 35.5%, DeWine continues to maintain his double-digit lead. John Cranley (3) Ohio Democratic Gubernatorial Challenger. Democrats will gain a seat in the new Congress, retaining the power to advance the presidents agenda and his judicial and cabinet picks. The figure can change as NBC News gathers new information. In the race for U.S. Senate, only 1 point separates Republican J.D. The Emerson poll is the first independent survey of Ohio's Democratic governor primary. Republicans have flipped four House seats in New York, two districts on Long Island and two in the Hudson Valley. The Emerson poll is the first independent survey of Ohios Democratic governor primary. The polls are now closed in Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia and Vermont, and in parts of Florida and New Hampshire. May 3, 2022. Because Alaska uses ranked choice voting, we may not know the winner until Nov. 23. DeWine and his 14-point lead, for example, would easily survive the GOP error margin if he lost 9.6 points. Vance in the returns, but almost all of the results are early votes, which we expect to disproportionately favor Democrats. Noah Rudnick, a Cygnal data scientist who fielded the poll, said in a news release that independent voters are really up for grabs when it comes to Ohios U.S. Senate race, as about 20% of independents who have yet to vote also remain undecided. Well also be watching competitive House races in N.C.-13 and Ohio-9. 2022 Texas Governor's Race: Abbott Leads O'Rourke 53% - 46%, Quinnipiac University Texas Poll Finds; Texas-Mexico Border Ranks As #1 Issue Among Likely Voters September 21, 2022 Dems Lead By Double Digits In CT Governor And Senate Races, Quinnipiac University Connecticut Poll Finds; Women Are A Key Factor In Both Races September 14, 2022 All rights reserved. . As we get closer towards the election, we use a higher sample size, which allows our margin of error to become smaller.. . 2022 Ohio Gubernatorial race: debates and news coverage. Nov. 9, 2022, John Fetterman, the Democratic candidate for Senate, won by a smaller margin than Josh Shapiro, the Democratic candidate for governor. Nov. 17, 2022, The gap between the candidates for Arizona governor narrowed considerably after Nov. 8 as late absentee ballots were tallied, including ones dropped off on Election Day. Hes outperforming Biden across the state and is currently up 8 points in counties that were the closest in 2020. Nov. 9, 2022, J.D. Ultimately, DeWine prevailed in the May 3rd primary election, however only won with a plurality of the vote, which suggests that he could have lost had his opponents not split the vote. Ohio : Governor : 2022 Polls | FiveThirtyEight The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. However the state already bans abortions, and that is unlikely to change. Dash 2 Trade Price Prediction 2023-2030: Will D2Trade reach $10, Can Terra Luna reach $100 again? The Spectrum: Mike Carey on Ukraine; Ohio redistricting fallout? Heres how it works Mail voting in 2020 contributed to longer wait times for results. Nate Cohn Read more Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. NYT Graphics We'll always be transparent about why we're making a certain rating. If Republicans win all of the races where they are currently leading by two points or more, theyll take control of the House. In Virginia, the performances of Democratic incumbents in the 2nd and 7th districts may offer early indications of how the party will fare in House races overall. Mike DeWine will win reelection in Ohio", "OPINION: Gov. Andrew Fischer GOP Rep. Rick Allen never faced a real threat to his reelection. Nvidia Stock Forecast 2023: Will NVIDIA Reach $1000? Analysis", "Conservative pastor seeking to unseat Gov. , Matt Cartwright, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Pennsylvanias Eighth Congressional District. In North Carolinas Senate race, Representative Ted Budd, a Trump-endorsed Republican, is very likely to win, according to our estimates. Nov. 8, 2022. Will Shiba Inu reach 50 Cents? Alicia Parlapiano The Republicans are well . . Vance (46%) and Democrat Tim Ryan (45%) among registered voters statewide. As primaries begin to heat up, the nominees remain far from clear, so we're showing every potential General Election matchup. Rep. Ted Budd of North Carolina, a Trump-backed conservative, beat Cheri Beasley, a Democrat, to capture retiring Senator Richard Burr's seat. Mondays poll is the first to include the full four-candidate GOP field, but only one of the 410 likely Republican primary voters Emerson surveyed said they plan to vote for Ron Hood. Nov. 9, 2022, Democrats and Republicans each need to win three more competitive Senate seats to win control of the chamber (in addition to the races they are expected to win most easily). 2022 Polls: Ohio Governor Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster General Election Show: * Incumbent The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. There is also an unexpectedly competitive Senate race in Utah between Senator Mike Lee, a Republican, and Evan McMullin, an independent. Brian Kemp gained more votes compared to Trump in 2020 all across Georgia, beating Stacey Abrams by a more than seven-point margin. Paul Vernon/AP Incumbent Ohio Gov. Polls are now closed in Hawaii. Senator Lisa Murkowski, a Republican, is facing a strong challenge from the Trump-endorsed Kelly Tshibaka. We predict most Americans will be led by Democratic governors. KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE The Ohio gubernatorial race moves from Likely Republican to Safe Republican. Google Search Share: Mike DeWine: 65%, Nan Whaley: 35% Social Media Sentiment: Mike Dewine: -27.2%, Nan Whaley: +20.9%CrowdwisdomLIVE Prediction: Considering all three data points, the incumbent Governor Mike DeWine is set to return as Governor of Ohio once again. The survey of 1,776 likely voters shows J.D. Nov. 9, 2022, The Senate races in Georgia, Nevada and Arizona are very tight, and vote counting is expected to drag into the week. The filing deadline was February 2, 2022. 2022 Polls: Ohio Senate Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster General Election Show: 10 All The average includes the most recent poll from each source within the past 30 days, up to a maximum of five. The most recent polls for the Governor elections taking place in 2022. Eight counties that voted Yes on the proposal also voted for the Republican candidate for governor, Tudor Dixon. Maura Healey, the newly elected Democratic governor of Massachusetts is the first openly lesbian woman to be elected governor in the United States. Representative Sean Patrick Maloney has conceded defeat to Mike Lawler, a first-term Republican state assemblyman. Chris Pappas, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent New Hampshires First Congressional District. from 2022 OH Governor's race (number of quotes indicated): Jim Renacci (4) Ohio Republican candidate for Governor. Jun 8, 2022. Mike DeWine, right (Photo by Graham H. Stokes for the Ohio Capital Journal. The Emerson/NBC4 poll of Ohios 15th Congressional District race two weeks before last Novembers election gave Republican Mike Carey an 11.1-point lead over Democrat Allison Russo with more than 1 in 10 voters still undecided. Mike DeWine", "Ohio Republican Party endorses Gov. . Do Americans Have A Favorable Opinion Of Donald Trump? There are voters who choose not to tune into the race until just a couple of weeks before the election, Holloway said. In Wisconsin, Senator Ron Johnson, a Republican, is up for re-election against Lt. Gov. GOP Rep. David Rouzer is coasting to reelection. The Times estimates the share of votes reported and the number of remaining votes, based on historic turnout data and reporting from results providers. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. , Senator Mark Kelly of Arizona, a Democrat, won a tough re-election campaign, beating Blake Masters, a Trump-backed venture capitalist. , Brian Kemp, the Republican governor of Georgia, defeated his Democratic challenger, Stacey Abrams, for a second time. The November elections are called the midterm elections as they take place halfway through the President's term in office, which is four years. That means a candidate could theoretically lose or gain 9.6% or 11%, respectively, if the poll were done again. See the rest of our predictions. Nov. 9, 2022, House districts rated as tossups have been called mostly in favor of Democrats so far, with one state as a glaring exception: New York.